We Virginia
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 77.4312Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Rob Morris 45- 3 906 A Ohio MIDA ( 9- 4, 76.3) 10-17 913 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 5, 82.9) 31-24 920 A Kansas B12 ( 5- 7, 77.3) 10-41 927 H Utah B12 (11- 2, 90.0) 14-48 1003 A BYU B12 (12- 2, 91.0) 24-38 1018 A UCF B12 ( 4- 8, 70.0) 13-45 1025 H TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 17-23 1101 A Houston B12 (10- 3, 80.5) 45-24 1108 H Colorado B12 ( 3- 9, 74.6) 29-22 1115 A Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 80.6) 23-25 1129 H Texas Tech B12 (12- 2, 96.3) 0-49
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Ohio 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.87
913 H Pittsburgh 31-24 7 0 +++ 7.22
920 A Kansas 10-41 -31 -5 --- -8.89
927 H Utah 14-48 -34 -7 --- -6.65
1003 A BYU 24-38 -14 -19 0.00
1018 A UCF 13-45 -32 2 --- -16.18
1025 H TCU 17-23 -6 -1 -- -4.72
1101 A Houston 45-24 21 -8 +++ 22.28
1108 H Colorado 29-22 7 8 -1.13
1115 A Arizona St 23-25 -2 -8 +++ 6.47
1129 H Texas Tech 0-49 -49 -14 -0.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 A Kansas 10-41 -31 -5 --- -8.89 927 H Utah 14-48 -34 -7 --- -6.65 1018 A UCF 13-45 -32 2 --- -16.18 1025 H TCU 17-23 -6 -1 -- -4.72 906 A Ohio 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 H Pittsburgh 31-24 7 0 +++ 7.22 1101 A Houston 45-24 21 -8 +++ 22.28 1115 A Arizona St 23-25 -2 -8 +++ 6.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ohio ( 9- 4, 76.3) 10-17 -23.60 27.62 5.26 1.16 -10.63
3 H Pittsburgh ( 8- 5, 82.9) 31-24 -16.99 34.23 -5.26 1.16 67.15
3 A Kansas ( 5- 7, 77.3) 10-41 -22.62 28.60 5.26 1.16 -10.06
3 H Utah (11- 2, 90.0) 14-48 -9.86 41.36 -5.26 1.16 -8.76
3 A BYU (12- 2, 91.0) 24-38 -8.89 42.33 5.26 1.16 -2.10
3 A UCF ( 4- 8, 70.0) 13-45 -29.91 21.31 5.26 1.16 -14.28
3 H TCU ( 9- 4, 84.0) 17-23 -15.93 35.29 -5.26 1.16 -12.28
3 A Houston (10- 3, 80.5) 45-24 -19.45 31.77 5.26 1.16 85.85
3 H Colorado ( 3- 9, 74.6) 29-22 -25.34 25.88 -5.26 1.16 47.81
3 A Arizona St ( 8- 5, 80.6) 23-25 -19.26 31.96 5.26 1.16 -8.11
3 H Texas Tech (12- 2, 96.3) 0-49 -3.57 47.65 -5.26 1.16 -5.12
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129.45
|
winning pts = 200.8073 losing points = -71.3548
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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